NEWS TRADINGThursday March 22, 2012
[8:30am NY Time]
Retail Sales is usually a very tradable release as traders
draw direct
correlation between retail activities with
economic health.
Here´s
Forecast:
8:30am Core Retail Sales
Forecast 0.5% Previous
0.0%
ACTION: USD/CAD BUY 0.0% / SELL 1.0%
USD/CAD is the recommended pair, if we get a strong deviation, don´t expect much
retracement. Also pay attention to the parity level as the current market is
just around that level.
Definition
Our focus is on the Core Retail Sales release
and not the headline Retail Sales release; Retail Sales releases from Canada is
a month on month release, and basically it´s a measurement of the activities at
the retail level of Canada, and the Core release is the same Retail Sales but
excluding most volatile components, Automotive Components, which makes up about
25% and it varies seasonly. A better release generally means more consumer
spending, which leads to better economy, thus better for its currency. And the
CORE reading provides a far more accurate look of the actual economy.
The Trade Plan
I´m going to be looking for a deviation around 0.4 ~ 0.5% for this
news. Since the forecast is at 0.5%, a reading of 0.0% would be negative for the
CAD and we´ll be looking to BUY USD/CAD; however, if the opposite is true, or a
1.0% (or better) of actual release, I´ll be looking to SELL USD/CAD.
Book : Beyond Candlesticks - Steve Nison
Book : Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques - Steve Nison
STEALTH FOREX SIGNALS..... Great performance...
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