mercoledì 16 gennaio 2013

AUD Employment Change


January 16, 2013 

AUD Employment Change

Australia AUD Employment Change is similar to U.S. NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) and Canada Employment Change, this is an economic indicator for the Employment Changes in Australia, here´s the forecast:
7:30pm (NY Time) AUD Employment Change
Forecast 5.0K Previous 13.9K
AU Unemployment Rate
Forecast 5.4% Previous 5.2%
DEVIATION: 25K (BUY AUD @ +30K / SELL AUD @ -20K)
DEFINITION“AUD Employment Change measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation´s currency. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP.”
The Trade PlanThe deviation that we are looking for is at least of 25K. Historically a 25K~30K of difference has produced about 40~50 pips of movement in the direction of the difference about 75% of the time. Expect to see the effect of this news to last minimum 45 minutes to 2 hours; typical news effect should last under 2 hours. One other important news to pay attention to is the Unemployment Rate, which is expected to be tick up at 5.3%. If we don´t get a conflict with the Employment Change, then we will proceed with the trading plan.
 If we get a +25K of release, our bias will be to BUY AUD against other currencies; if we get a -25K of release, our bias will be to SELL AUD against stronger currencies. 
Recommended Pairs : AUDUSD, AUDCAD.

AUD/USD - Australian dollar / US Dollar

ResistancesWeekly 1.062 ; Daily 1.0595 ; Hourly 1.0575

Supports : Weekly 1.0465 ; Daily 1.0495 ; Hourly 1.053

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